INVESTMENT UPDATE
JUNE 2025
INVESTMENT UPDATE
JUNE 2025

Cadence Capital Limited returned a gross performance of -1.5% in June, compared to the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index which was up +1.4% for the month. The fund performed strongly in the second half of the financial year being up +7.3% reversing some of the first half of the financial year underperformance.

For the year ended 30 June 2025 the fund was up +3.4% compared to the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index which was up +13.2%. The All Ordinaries Accumulation Index performance in 2025 was driven by a small number of large capitalisation companies that did not meet Cadence’s investment criteria having low earnings growth and high price earnings (PE) multiples.  Commonwealth Bank, Wesfarmers, Westpac, Telstra and Brambles are five such examples which were responsible for around half of the rise in the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index over the 2025 financial year.

The top contributors to performance for Cadence Capital Limited during the past financial year were Evolution Mining, Netflix, QBE Insurance, Robex Resources, Boss Energy, New Gold, West African Resources and Suncorp. The largest detractors from performance were Whitehaven Coal, Alcoa, Yancoal, Capstone Copper, Stanmore Resources and BHP.

In multiple past webcasts we have discussed that the AUD gold price had been rising, and that because gold mining companies are leveraged to the gold price their share prices should have outperformed gold price movements. At that point they had underperformed, and this continued for most of 2024.  We have recently seen gold company share prices “catch up” to the gold price. For example, over the past twelve months the Evolution Mining share price was up 123% while the Australian Dollar gold price was up 44%. Robex Resources, New Gold and West African Resources have also performed well, particularly over the last 6 months.

Price Earnings expansion continued to benefit our Suncorp and QBE investments, which were made a number of years ago when Suncorp and QBE were able to increase premiums in an inflationary environment. A key part of the Cadence process is to follow the trend and while Suncorp, QBE and Netflix may not meet our fundamental criteria and are currently therefore trades, we will only look to sell these positions when their share price trends change.

The Netflix share price has continued the uptrend that began in mid-2022.  We continue to believe that Netflix has excellent economies of scale. As the market leader in subscription video streaming Netflix can provide a large range of quality movies and TV shows at an appealing price, which should drive continued subscriber and profit growth for many years to come. Netflix is due to release their second quarter results this month which we expect to be ahead of their guidance for revenue of USD11.0b and operating income of USD3.7b.

Discount to NTA

The last half of the financial year was a highly volatile period with the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index moving in an 18% range, which unsettled investors. After adjusting for dividends, CDM’s Pre-tax NTA increased 8% during this 6 month period whilst its share price has fallen by 4%.

CDM is trading at a pre-tax NTA discount of 14% whilst holding some cash. Excluding cash the share portfolio of CDM can be bought at a 16% discount to its underlying value. CDM is currently trading at its third highest discount in 19 years, only trading at larger discounts during the GFC (41% discount) and COVID-19 (43% discount) market moves. The current portfolio can be purchased for 86 cents in the dollar. The Company has been buying back its own stock at a discount to NTA in the CDM on-market buy-back program. Directors have also been adding to their CDM shareholdings at a discount to NTA by participating in the recent DRP and by buying shares on-market.

Fund NTA

Fund Performance

Fully Franked Dividends Declared Since Listing

After paying the interim dividend the company has around 9.5 cents per share of profits reserves to pay future dividends.

Historic Portfolio Exposure

Portfolio Sector Analysis

Portfolio Market Capitalisation Analysis

News

To watch CDM’s March 2025 Quarterly Webcast please click here. In this quarterly webcast, Karl Siegling first gives an update on the Company’s performance, its 3.0c interim dividend paid, the current composition of the portfolio and its top 20 holdings and then discusses the Company’s discount to NTA. Karl then discusses in some detail six of the fund’s new investments (namely New Gold, Myer, Boss Energy, Aurelia Metals, Robex Resources and Champion Iron) before closing with an update on the outlook for the rest of the year.

To view all previous Cadence webcasts and interviews please visit the Media Section of the website.

We also encourage you to visit our 52 books you should read before buying your next stock page on our website. We have compiled a list of books/ documentaries that have influenced our investment style or helped provide insight into the Cadence investment process.

10 Books To Read Before Buying Your Next Stock

10 Books To Read Before Buying Your Next Stock

Funds management involves a lot of synthesis of information and reading. Over the years we all end up reading many investment books and refer to them from time to time.

The team at Cadence has compiled a list of books that have influenced our investment style, or helped provide insight into the investment process.

Whilst not an exhaustive list, the 10 titles contained in this eBook provide a good starting point for any interested investor.

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